TD₿: Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle Is Dead—Here’s What’s Next - (a Swan Signal Live segment) with Brady, Steven, Alex and Alec
TL;DR: Bitcoin is now a geopolitical asset. As the U.S. considers a strategic reserve and institutions flood in, global adoption could accelerate—reshaping the future of finance.
Hey Bitcoiners,
Liquidity is returning to markets, and with it, optimism for Bitcoin. But unlike past cycles, this isn’t 2017—Bitcoin has matured beyond retail speculation. The influence of halving events is waning, as issuance is now a small fraction of total supply.
Instead, the landscape is dominated by institutional players, nation-state mining strategies, and ETFs. Bitcoin has proven its resilience during market turmoil, holding strong even as tech stocks plummeted. This signals a structural shift: Bitcoin is evolving from a volatile asset to a credible pillar of global finance.
At the same time, the geopolitical stakes are rising. The U.S. is exploring a strategic Bitcoin reserve, with lawmakers and executives discussing budget-neutral ways to begin accumulation—even without formal legislation. If the U.S. starts buying Bitcoin, global game theory suggests other nations will follow, cementing Bitcoin’s role as a neutral reserve asset in global trade.
In a world grappling with Triffin’s dilemma and tariff wars, Bitcoin offers a non-sovereign alternative—immune to sanctions and trade barriers. Reports already suggest countries like Russia and China are settling energy trades in Bitcoin, signaling the early stages of a monetary realignment.
You can check out the entire episode here.
Tick tock next block,
The Swan Education Team
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Quote of the Day
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In the Headlines
Tether Pledges Hashrate Support to Jack Dorsey-Backed Bitcoin Mining Pool Ocean
Tether has pledged to support the Jack Dorsey-backed Bitcoin mining pool Ocean by allocating both current and future hashrate to it. The move aims to enhance Bitcoin's decentralization, transparency, and resilience.
Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino said the initiative aligns with the company’s broader mission and mining investments. Ocean, led by Bitcoin Core developer Luke Dashjr, had previously drawn attention for blocking certain NFT-like Bitcoin transactions, though it later reversed that policy.
Strategy Adds 3,450 BTC, Pushing Bitcoin Holdings Past $45 Billion
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) purchased 3,450 Bitcoin worth $286 million last week, raising its total holdings to 531,644 BTC—valued at $45.2 billion. The firm paid an average of $82,600 per Bitcoin and disclosed the buy in an SEC filing.
As the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, Strategy has shifted from software to a Bitcoin treasury model, funding purchases through stock sales and debt issuance. It recently sold one million Class A shares and may issue up to $2 billion more. Despite recent volatility and financial concerns, Strategy’s stock rebounded 4% on Monday amid broader tech sector gains.
Swan Shortie of the Day
Event of the Day
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Bitcoin Conference 2025: The world's largest Bitcoin event, scheduled for May 27-29, 2025, in Las Vegas.
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Meme of the Day
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